Where This Started

"Why are there so many empty historic and commercial buildings around here? Is it financial? Is it policy-related? Or do people just not want to live in them?"

— Observation while living in Downtown LA, Summer 2025

Downtown Los Angeles has cycled through financial districts, commercial hubs, and cultural revivals over the past century. Yet walking its streets reveals a persistent paradox: hundreds of vacant and underused buildings sit within blocks of a housing crisis that has placed LA among the most unaffordable cities in the country.

The Adaptive Reuse Ordinance (ARO), introduced in 1999, was designed to close this gap — converting old commercial and industrial buildings into residential and mixed-use spaces while preserving the city's architectural heritage. This project became a spatial research investigation: which parcels in DTLA are most ready for adaptive reuse right now? The answer depends on proximity to transit, street-level activity, and the precedent set by 25 years of ARO conversions.

153ARO projects
citywide
72%ARO projects within
½ mile of Metro
13,358Dwelling units
converted
2025APCG award
Santa Clarita, CA
01
Part One
APCG Conference Research
October 2025 · Award-Winning Presentation

Research Questions

01
Transit Access

Where are the DTLA parcels most ready for adaptive reuse, measured by proximity to Metro rail stations and bus routes? Do ARO conversions cluster within half-mile transit catchments?

02
Street-Level Activity

Can open-street events like CicLAvia influence building reuse interest? How does event-driven foot traffic and bicycle lane proximity signal redevelopment opportunity?

Presentation Slides

DTLA context and ARO background

DTLA context — LA's housing crisis and the 25-year history of the Adaptive Reuse Ordinance.

ARO policy and zoning framework

ARO policy framework — eligibility criteria, zoning overlays, and incentive structures for conversion projects.

ARO projects over the years

ARO conversions over time — 25 years of projects mapped across DTLA.

Metro buffers and ARO overlap

Metro station ½-mile buffers overlaid on ARO projects — 72% of conversions fall within one catchment.

Bus routes and bicycle lanes

Bus routes and bicycle lane corridors — secondary transit layers for parcel scoring.

Key Finding — Transit & ARO Patterns

Data from 153 documented ARO conversions revealed a strong spatial relationship between transit access and redevelopment activity. Parcels within half a mile of a Metro station accounted for a disproportionate share of all conversions — and the most transit-accessible parcels also concentrated the most dwelling units and commercial condominiums.

Project CharacteristicsTotalWithin ½ mi of Metro% of TotalOutside ½ mi
Projects citywide15311072%43
Dwelling units13,35810,71680%2,642
Commercial condominiums68967097%19
Commercial sq footage164,85392,85356%72,000

The CicLAvia Finding

One of the most surprising results was the spatial influence of CicLAvia — LA's open-street events that temporarily close miles of roads to cars. Historical CicLAvia routes, when mapped against ARO conversions and vacant parcel clusters, revealed that corridors with recurring open-street activity correlated strongly with concentrations of adaptive-reuse candidates.

CicLAvia's Heart of LA 2017 event produced a 25% average increase in local business sales and a 48% increase in Metro TAP sales at the 7th Street/Metro Center station — suggesting that temporary street activations are measurable signals of long-term neighborhood regeneration potential.

CicLAvia route and open streets comparison

CicLAvia Heart of LA route — Broadway corridor as a temporary pedestrian-activated space; Bogotá Ciclovía comparison.

CicLAvia quantitative impact and candidate parcels

CicLAvia 2017 impact data and candidate parcel identification — highest-scoring zones near Civic Center and the historic core.

Conference conclusions and candidate parcel map

Conference conclusions — parcel candidates circled near Civic Center and City Hall; convergence of transit, bike, and CicLAvia buffers.

Award — APCG 2025

Association of Pacific Coast Geographers
Santa Clarita, CA · 2025
Tom McKnight and Joan Clemens Award
for the Outstanding Paper by a Master's Student
Awarded to
Juan Sebastian Cortez
Outstanding Paper
October 11, 2025
Elena Givental, APCG President Lorne Platt, Awards Chair
02
Part Two
Vacant Reuse Buffer Scorer
December 2025 · SSCI 581 Python Toolbox

From Research to Tool

The research findings from the APCG presentation — that transit access and street-level activity best predicted adaptive-reuse concentration — became the conceptual foundation for a working ArcGIS Pro Python Toolbox. Built in SSCI 581 (Geospatial Programming), the Vacant Reuse Buffer Scorer automates the accessibility scoring workflow across all vacant parcels in the Downtown ARO boundary.

Study Area

DTLA study area — vacant parcels, Metro stations, CicLAvia, bikeways

Input layers clipped to the Downtown ARO Incentive Area boundary — vacant parcels, Metro stations, CicLAvia route, and bicycle lane network.

Scoring Logic — Buffer Hit Counter

Each vacant parcel receives a score from 0 to 3 based on how many of three 0.5-mile buffer zones it falls within. The half-mile threshold reflects standard urban planning metrics for pedestrian accessibility.

0
No buffer overlap
Low accessibility
1
1 buffer hit
(bike, metro, or CicLAvia)
2
2 buffer hits
Good accessibility
3
All 3 buffers hit
Highest readiness

Tool Interface — ArcGIS Pro

ArcGIS Pro Python Toolbox interface

Python Toolbox (.pyt) registered in ArcGIS Pro Catalog pane.

Tool parameters dialog

Tool parameter dialog — input layers and output geodatabase path.

Buffer creation step

Buffer creation — 0.5-mile dissolve buffers around Metro stations, bike lanes, and CicLAvia route.

SelectLayerByLocation result

SelectLayerByLocation intersect — binary flags (in_bike, in_metro, in_ciclo) written to parcels.

Attribute table with scores

Attribute table showing buffer_hits and readiness_0_100 fields calculated for each parcel.

Symbology and graduated colors

Graduated color symbology applied to readiness_0_100 — 0 to 100 scale.

Final tool run in ArcGIS Pro

Completed tool run — all output fields written, layer added to map canvas.

Input Datasets — Python Toolbox

DatasetSourceTypeUse
Parcels
LA City Open Data (GitHub)PolygonFull parcel fabric for DTLA study area
Vacant Parcels
LA City Open Data (GitHub)PointScored target layer (VacantParcels_Clip)
Bicycle Lanes
LA City Open Data (GitHub)Line0.5 mi buffer → in_bike flag
Metro Stations
Metro Los AngelesPoint0.5 mi buffer → in_metro flag
Metro Rail Lines
Metro Los AngelesLineRail corridor context
CicLAvia Route
OpenStreetMapLine0.5 mi buffer → in_ciclo flag

Tool Development Workflow

Python — Core Scoring Logic

# Buffer Creation
bike_buf = _mkbuf(bike_p, "bike")
metro_buf = _mkbuf(metro_p, "metro")
ciclo_buf = _mkbuf(ciclo_p, "ciclo") if ciclo_p else None

# Intersect each parcel with each buffer → binary flags
arcpy.management.SelectLayerByLocation(lyr, "INTERSECT", bike_buf)
arcpy.management.CalculateField(lyr, "in_bike", 1)
# ... repeat for metro, ciclo ...

# Composite score: sum of flags → normalize 0–100
arcpy.management.CalculateField(
    out_pts, "buffer_hits",
    "{!in_bike!} + {!in_metro!} + {!in_ciclo!}"
)
arcpy.management.CalculateField(
    out_pts, "readiness_0_100",
    "int(round((!buffer_hits! / 3.0) * 100))"
)

Tool Output — DTLA Vacancy Scoring

Final RISK readiness score map — DTLA vacant parcels

Final readiness scores — parcels scoring 2–3 concentrate along Broadway, Spring St., and the Metro A Line corridor, exactly where ARO conversions have historically clustered.

The tool's results validated the research hypothesis: highest-scoring parcels (2–3 buffer intersections) align with the corridors where the ARO program has already proven successful over 25 years. The CicLAvia layer adds a dynamic civic dimension — parcels near recurring open-street routes scored higher, demonstrating that temporary activations are measurable signals of long-term redevelopment potential.

Future Work

Network Analysis

Replace Euclidean buffers with network-based pedestrian accessibility analysis for more realistic walkability zones along actual street networks.

Building Attributes

Integrate zoning classification, building age, floor area ratio, and permit history to create a multi-factor reuse index beyond proximity scoring.

Weighted Variables

Assign differential weights — greater importance to Metro proximity or event frequency — to tailor the index for equity-focused or density-focused planning goals.